Here we go ... Emmy Season and time to at least get my Drama predictions out there. Being a father of four and helping my wife run our family business may make keeping up with this Blog nearly impossible ... but it does not make watching every show on television impossible!
This is getting much more difficult as more and more solid scripted shows are hitting the stage. As Netflix has taken off, it has made binge-watch TV arguably the best thing out there. It should be a very interesting day, as Network television could be (but likely won't be due to Empire's ridiculous popularity) shutout!
Without further ado, here are my SHOULD BE and WILL BE nominations for the Drama categories in tomorrow's big Emmy announcement.
Best Drama
Should be: The Americans – Season 3; Mad Men – Season 7, Part II; Better Call Saul – Season 1; Daredevil – Season 1; The Good Wife – Season 6; Justified – Season 6; House of Cards – Season 3
Will be: Mad Men; House of Cards; The Americans; Game of Thrones – Season 5; Orange is the New Black – Season 2; Downton Abbey – Season 5; Empire – Season 1
Will win: Mad Men
Should win: The Americans
Summary: This is as crowded a field as ever. I am not really against the ones I think will be nominated. Game of Thrones, Orange is the New Black and Downton Abbey were all really solid. Empire is totally average, but a very strong cast makes it watchable. I don't even have it in my Top 20 (coming tomorrow) ... but the immense dent it made on the ratings makes it almost a lock for a nomination. It seems almost assuredly that OITNB and House of Cards will be nominated, giving binge-watch Netflix shows an unreal showing. Of course, Daredevil has no chance of really winning anything, but it was so fantastic it should be in the running for a few Emmy's.
Best Actress in a Drama
Should be: Robin Wright, House of Cards; Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black; Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife; Elizabeth Moss, Mad Men; Lizzy Caplan, Masters of Sex; Keri Russell, The Americans
Will be: Wright; Marguiles; Danes; Tajiri P. Henson, Empire; Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder; Ruth Wilson, The Affair
Will win: Viola Davis
Should win: Robin Wright
Summary: Another very deep category. The voters have shown us they will never nominate Maslany, which is ridiculous. And Henson and Davis will get nominations for their extremely popular shows – and one of them will likely walk away with an Emmy that probably has no business going anywhere but to Mrs. Underwood. Robin Wright stole the show on a very good Season 3. The rift between her and Spacey was as good as anything on television this year. She was one of few bright spots in an overdone second season, but to still be the brightest spot in a very good third season ... this lady deserves the trophy.
Best Actor in a Drama
Should be: Jon Hamm, Mad Men; Kevin Spacey, House of Cards; Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul; Timothy Olyphant, Justified; Matthew Rhys, The Americans; Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan
Will be: Hamm; Spacey; Odenkirk; Terrance Howard, Empire; Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom; Kyle Chandler, Bloodline
Should win: Bob Odenkirk
Will win: Jon Hamm
Summary: Let it be clear, there was no better acting performance on television this year than Bob Odenkirk on Better Call Saul. Most were skeptical about this Breaking Bad spinoff. Could it really stand on its own merit? Is Odenkirk really leading man worthy? The answer was a resounding YES with one of the biggest surprises on television this year. I think we expected to be entertained, but to be completed blown away by a show that was fantastic even if Breaking Bad had never existed? That was unexpected. The voters have shown they love them some Daniels and Chandler, so those guys will get nods. At least Chandler is somewhat deserving for Bloodline. The Newsroom has always been garbage, despite Daniels' best efforts, but he does not deserve to be in this field.
Oh ... and though Odenkirk is the best man, I think if I had a voted I would have a very tough time not marking Jon Hamm as the winner. He might actually be the best guy this year, it is really close ... and he certainly deserves it.
Best Supporting Actress in a Drama
Should be: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey; Lena Headey, Game of Thrones; Christina Hendricks, Mad Men; Christine Baranski, The Good Wife; Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black; Sissy Spacek, Bloodline
Will be: Smith; Headey; Hendricks; Baranski; Aduba; Spacek
Should win: Christina Hendricks
Will win: Christina Hendricks
Summary: Yep ... I think the voters and I are going to agree on every point here. Smith is still Downton's strongest asset, but Hendricks has been underestimated for years and her role in the final episodes of one of the best Dramas ever on television cannot be understated. She was VERY strong this season and should finally be rewarded. On a side note, I believe it Lena Headey had done the nude scene in the Game of Thrones finally, instead of using a body double, she would be in line to take home the award. It was such a powerful scene and done so well. I understand the use of a body double, but if you are in the role, the hardware comes with being in the role. I bagged on Monica Potter a couple of years ago for getting Emmy love despite wearing a clear bald-cap through a cancer storyline. I can't help but back on Headey for this. I understood both ladies decisions, but it hurts your chances.
Best Supporting Actor in a Drama
Should be: Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones; Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul; Alan Cumming, The Good Wife; Michael McKean, Better Call Saul; Walton Goggins, Justified; Vincent D'Onofrio, Daredevil
Will be: Dinklage; Banks; Jon Voight, Ray Donovan; Mandy Patinkin, Homeland; Jim Carter, Downton Abbey; Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones
Should win: Walton Goggins
Will win: Jonathan Banks
Summary: As usual, this is the toughest category in the field. There are so many worthy actors out there. It is likely the guy I think should take home the award will not even be nominated. And honestly, if Goggins doesn't win, D'Onofrio should ... and he probably stands even less chance of being nominated. I think many are also sleeping on how good Michael McKean was on Better Call Saul because Jonathan Banks was so good. In the end, I think that Banks gets the award because of his work on Saul and Breaking Bad in the past. Dinklage easily could win as well. And don't be surprised if Kit Harrington picks up steam after the memorable Game of Thrones ending. The late boost could lift him to a steal.
Best Guest Actress in a Drama
Should be: Margo Martindale, The Americans; Lois Smith, The Americans; Diana Rigg, Game of Thrones; Carrie Preston, The Good Wife; Kieman Shipka, Mad Men; Julianne Nicholson, Masters of Sex
Will be: Martindale; Rigg; Preston; Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder; Allison Janney, Masters of Sex; Kate Burton, Scandal
Should win: Lois Smith
Will win: Cicely Tyson
Summary: This category is filled with great performances this year. Shipka particularly stuck out on Mad Men and should be rewarded. I know it was only a scene in one episode, but Lois Smith absolutely stole the show on The Americans this season with the most memorable and important part of the season, by being in the wrong place at the wrong time. It confirmed so much about who the main characters are by showing us this hard working lady just doing her job. I think that the networks steal this one on award day and Smith probably doesn't even get a nod, but it was one of the best 30-minutes on television this year.
Best Guest Actor in a Drama
Should be: Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife; David Hyde Pierce, The Good Wife; F. Murray Abraham, Homeland; Corey Stoll, Homeland; Beau Bridges, Masters of Sex; Sam Shepard, Bloodline
Will be: Fox; Pierce; Bridges; Abraham; Andre Braugher, Law & Order: SVU; Edward Asner, The Good Wife
Should win: David Hyde Pierce
Will win: Beau Bridges
Summary: Not as strong a field as there has been in the past, but Pierce was excellent on The Good Wife and should be rewarded. He is one of the greatest television actors to ever live and does not regularly get enough credit. I also think Shepard was stellar on Bloodline, which was one of the best shows of the year.
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