Best Actor Drama
Should be: Steve
Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire), Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad), Jon Hamm (Mad Men),
Kevin Spacey (House of Cards), Timothy Olyphant (Justified) and Matthew Rhys
(The Americans)
Will be: Cranston,
Hamm, Spacey, Olyphant, Jeff Daniels (The Newsroom) and Damien Lewis (Homeland)
My winner: Jon
Hamm
Likely winner: Bryan
Cranston
Wow, what a heavyweight category this is. It is going to be
a massive battle just to be one of the six nominees and there is a good chance
that Buscemi misses out on a nomination for the first time since starting
Boardwalk Empire. The trophy is going to almost certainly go to one of two
people, defending champ Damien Lewis or three-time champ Bryan Cranston.
Personally, I thought Jon Hamm had one of his best seasons on Mad Men and I
would give the slight nod to him over Cranston. In the end though, I think the
voters are going to give Cranston his fourth top actor award.
Dark horse: Kevin
Spacey was really good on House of Cards and House of Cards was great for about
7 episodes before it really lost its footing. That likely will cost him a shot
at springing the Emmy upset. But he is a big name and since Lewis and Cranston
have already taken home Emmys the voters may slide Spacey’s name to the top.
Best Supporting Actor
Drama
Should be: Peter
Dinklage (Game of Thrones), Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad), Mandy Patinkin
(Homeland), Alan Cumming (The Good Wife), Noah Emmerich (The Americans) and
Walton Goggins (Justified)
Will be: Dinklage,
Paul, Patinkin, Goggins, Sam Waterson (The Newsroom) and Corey Stoll (House of
Cards)
My winner: Peter
Dinklage
Likely winner: Aaron
Paul
The only person who will be nominated that I would have a
problem with is Sam Waterson because I don’t think he is even slightly
essential to The Newsroom and I don’t particularly like the show as a
whole. I would love to Emmerich
and David Morrissey (The Walking Dead) get recognition for their work on their
shows, but they will likely get left in the abyss that is full of worthy
Supporting Actor candidates. In the end, I think Aaron Paul is taking home
another Emmy as he stole the show for a few scenes in Breaking Bad this year.
Dark horse: Mandy
Patinkin was exceptional on Homeland this year (better than Danes and Lewis)
and could sneak in and take the Emmy home. He seemed to be the favorite for a
while, but the buzz has recently shifted back to Paul and Dinklage.
Best Guest Actor
Drama
Should be: Nathan
Lane (The Good Wife), Michael J. Fox (The Good Wife), Jimmy Smits (Sons of
Anarchy), Ray Romano (Parenthood), Mike O’Malley (Justified) and Matthew Perry
(The Good Wife)
Will be: Lane, Fox, Romano, Smits, Rupert Friend (Homeland)
and Robert Morse (Mad Men)
Another tough category filled with strong contenders and
past winners, but it is difficult to see anyone other than Michael J. Fox
winning this award again (he won one for his work on Rescue Me). This will be his 16th Emmy
nomination and he has yet to win for The Good Wife. Truth is, while he is a
guest actor, he is an integral part of that show and this time around he will
get the award. Nathan Lane will provide stiff competition and Romano was the best
character on Parenthood this past year, so he could be in contention.
Dark horses: If
The Good Wife does not take home this award then it would seem Romano is the
only legit dark horse candidate. Jimmy Smits was excellent on Sons of Anarchy,
but the Emmys have never been too fond of that show. Rupert Friend could slide
his way to victory if there is another Homeland Emmy takeover.
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